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Belt and Road Initiative will spur growth in countries: Panel

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It's important to look for economically viable and bankable projects: Heng

Geopolitics cannot be divorced from China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), but the mega project will create plenty of economic opportunities and growth for countries, said panellists at a World Economic Forum discussion in Davos yesterday.

While current tensions between China and the US have rattled the globe, long-term infrastructural projects vital to connecting nations and driving free trade will continue at a rapid clip, they predicted.

Launched five years ago, Chinese President Xi Jinping's signature development strategy to revive ancient sea and land trade routes linking Africa, Europe and Asia, has won the support of an increasing number of countries eager for China's help.

It involves an estimated US$1.5 trillion (S$2 trillion) of Chinese investment across Asia alone in the next decade for infrastructure projects such as ports, industrial hubs and roads.

While experts have expressed worries over the ability of developing countries to repay the large debts they owe to China, not to mention fears over its expanding geopolitical influence, the four panellists were upbeat on the benefits of the BRI.

Said Azerbaijan's President Ilham Aliyev: "Any kind of transportation project that connects countries will have a geopolitical background and positively influence geopolitical situations, stability and credibility because it creates interdependence."

Singapore's Finance Minister Heng Swee Keat said the momentum of the initiative will not slow if countries support the vision of economic integration through building connectivity.

"Geopolitics will have an impact on the pace and the international trading system, so it is important for us to push on and look for projects that are economically viable, bankable and have proper rules and regulations... so you can show to the world that these are projects that have long-term benefits," he said.

"And we shouldn't let the current trade skirmishes end up affecting the longer term objective of better integration for a better world."

The BRI is a focal point in China's relationship with Singapore, which has been an early supporter of the mega project.

The two countries have identified major areas of cooperation: infrastructure connectivity; financial connectivity; joint collaboration to help other countries; and services to help resolve cross-border commercial disputes.

Mr Heng said while it is easy to say free trade will benefit all, in practice there will be winners and losers, and countries will have to restructure to keep up.

"The underlying concept is we can all have a better life if we cooperate but reaching there is not a given," he said.

"It's a serious vision which needs to be pursued vigorously."

BUSINESS & FINANCE